<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[Open Parenthesis]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://www.openparenthesis.org]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[John]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[http://www.openparenthesis.org/author/admin/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[State of the What?]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[David Sifry from <a href="http://www.technorati.com/" title="Technorati" target="_blank">Technorati</a> has posted the latest State of the Blogosphere - except that now it is the "<a href="http://technorati.com/weblog/2007/04/328.html" title="State of the Live Web" target="_blank">State of the Live Web</a>."

He notes that, in a change from the old State of the Blogosphere reports:
<blockquote>With this report, we expand on this tradition by introducing information and analysis relating to the broader range of social media on the Web -- what we and many others call the <a href="http://www.linuxjournal.com/article/8573">Live Web</a> (<a href="http://interactive.linuxjournal.com/article/8549">another good definition</a>). Technorati continues to grow well beyond its roots at the leading blog search engine; increasingly, we are the main aggregation point for all forms of social media on the Web, including blogs, of course, but also video, photos, audio such as podcasts and much more.</blockquote>
It's odd to me that the links for "Live Web" actually point to Linux Journal - I'd always though of "Live" as a kind of Microsoftism - to go with Windows Live Search, Live Spaces, Office Live, etc.

(According to <a href="http://doc.weblogs.com/2006/03/26" title="The Doc Searls Weblog" target="_blank">Doc Searls</a>, the "World Live Web" meme goes back to 2001 and was coined by <a href="http://kbcafe.com/iBLOGthere4iM/?guid=20050909075304" title="Allen Searls" target="_blank">Allen Searls</a> - I know Doc has been using this distinction between Live web and Static web for some time.)

Anyway, some conclusions:
<ul>
	<li>70 million blogs tracked, 120 thousand new ones each day</li>
	<li>Doubling now takes 320 days, not 180 (continued lengthening from last report)</li>
	<li>In Q4 2006, there were 22 blogs in the top 100 most popular sites, up from 12 in Q3 - there is an increasing overlap / mixture of "mainstream media" and "blog" audiences</li>
</ul>
<!--more-->Interesting that Sifry doesn't take on any of the reports that blogging will reach it's peak in 2007 - or is already in the process of dying out. (See <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/6178611.stm" title="Blogging will peak in 2007" target="_blank">this BBC article</a> about <a href="http://www.gartner.com/it/page.jsp?id=499323" title="Gartner Predictions" target="_blank">Gartner's predictions</a>, or see Bruce Sterling's <a href="http://www.openparenthesis.org/2007/03/26/sxsw-day-four-sterling/" title="Bruce Sterling Rant" target="_blank">SXSW rant</a> that <a href="http://www.theregister.co.uk/2007/03/14/sterling_sxsw/" title="Bruce Sterling Gives Blogging 10 years to live" target="_blank">Blogging will be dead within 10 years</a>).

While I don't see blogging dying anytime soon, I can imagine it might change forms.

Will <a href="http://www.twitter.com/" title="Twitter" target="_blank">Twitter</a> surpass blogging? I hope not.  What about tumblelogs, on platforms like <a href="http://tumblr.com/" title="Tumblr" target="_blank">Tumblr</a>?

Perhaps I'm too old (at 37 I'm on the late edge of the curve for many Digital-era technologies) but I prefer the longer form blog to these microblogs, even if they are updated in near real-time.

It'd be interesting to plot average length of blog post over time - are we (collectively) writing more but shorter posts?

Is there no future in the long form essay on the weblog?

(Technorati has also set up a <a href="http://www.sifry.com/stateoftheliveweb/" title="State of the Blogosphere / State of the Live Web" target="_blank">homepage for these reports</a>, enabling users to review all of them in reverse chronological order, and clarifying the creative commons license under which the reports are published).]]></html></oembed>