My colleague Dave Gynn recently hosted an Optaros webinar on “Ten Events and Trends That Shaped Open Source in 2006.”
I should really have posted the link to it before the event rather than after it, but better late than never.
I won’t recap the whole presentation here – it’s well worth reading / watching – but will point to his five predictions for 2007, which he goes in to more depth on in the presentation:
- Vista upgrade cycle [with Sharepoint 2007, Office 2007] will drive OSS evaluations
- CMS consolidation will accelerate as OSS rolls through
- Enterprises will be pushed through the OSS adoption lifecycle – Use, Choose, Prefer, Participate, Make
- Next Generation Internet applications will be driven by open source
- $100 laptop brings world-wide attention and millions of users
Of course every prediction is in part based on what’s already happening – I think the announcement that the Google Web Toolkit 1.3 version would be open source, which was made the same day as the webinar, is a sign that prediction 4 is well underway.